{ "date": "2026-09-05", "scope": "Independent bounded applicability and archived-result review; no model execution, no edits to model files or other agents’ results.", "decision": { "historicalArithmeticReproducible": true, "archivedPeakSelectionVerified": true, "threeSearchExtensionsVerified": true, "sitePhysicalApplicabilityEstablished": false, "currentFacilityPredictionReady": false, "publicStatus": "Provisional historical normalized sustained-source sensitivity; CDGF additionally carries a diameter-range warning." }, "firstInvestigatedCase": { "id": "WWGF_water_summer_250_310_q1_d20", "physicalHeight_m": 100, "aermodReleaseHeight_m": 183.588, "aermodEquivalentDiameter_m": 19.088, "heat_cal_s": 829441536, "syntheticPeakMeteorology": { "heatFlux_W_m2": 11.25, "frictionVelocity_m_s": 0.058, "convectiveVelocity_m_s": 0.6, "temperatureGradient_K_m": 0.02, "convectiveMixingHeight_m": 590.0, "mechanicalMixingHeight_m": 32.0, "moninObukhovLength_m": -1.3, "roughnessLength_m": 0.001, "bowenRatio": 0.1, "albedo": 0.1, "referenceWindSpeed_m_s": 1.0, "windReferenceHeight_m": 10.0, "temperature_K": 250.0, "temperatureReferenceHeight_m": 2.0 }, "reportedPeak": { "concentration_ug_m3_per_g_s": 0.12672, "distance_m": 4445.0 }, "reportingDiagnostics": { "windAtStack_m_s": { "atMaximum": 1.1, "atAmbientStart": 0.7, "printedValues": [ "1.1", "0.7" ] }, "finalPlumeRise_m": { "atMaximum": 9432.4, "atAmbientStart": 15170.2, "printedValues": [ "9432.4", "15170.2" ] }, "finalPlumeHeight_m": { "atMaximum": 9615.9, "atAmbientStart": 15353.8, "printedValues": [ "9615.9", "15353.8" ] } }, "reportedFinalHeightIsAermodInputReleaseHeight": false }, "reportingFormulaFinding": { "routine": "AERSCREEN.FOR PLUMEHGT, lines13775–13901; reporting call13055–13072", "positiveBuoyancyFinalDistance": "For Fb >55 m4/s3: Xf=119*Fb**0.4", "convectiveRise": "deltaH=(3*Fm*Xf/(beta1^2*U^2)+3*Fb*Xf^2/(2*beta1^2*U^3))^(1/3), beta1=.6; actual source uses exponent .333333.", "stableLimiterCondition": "Monin-Obukhov length >0, or Monin-Obukhov length <0 and source release height >=mixing height.", "firstCaseCondition": "Unstable and release183.588m ", "code": "SO W320 DS", "inputRetained": true, "isFatal": false, "isPublishedHardFlareValidityLimit": false, "CDGF_diameter_m": 31.335430989775904, "documentedValidatedUpperHeatLimitFound": false, "searchScope": "Checked AERSCREEN guide/source input checks, current AERMOD formulation/user guide and source warning check. No universal heat or flare-diameter validation envelope was established.", "implication": "Retain CDGF results with explicit unresolved applicability flag. Do not truncate diameter or alter heat merely to suppress warning. Lack of warning for smaller sources does not validate them." }, "highBuoyancyFormulationFinding": { "primarySource": "EPA July2026 Model Formulation §B.2.12 printed161–162/PDF163–164; User Guide HBP entry printed3-6/PDF73", "option": "HBP", "status": "ALPHA, introduced23132; not enabled in archived cases", "documentedConcern": "For some penetrated highly buoyant plume conditions, default formulation may mix material down prematurely and overpredict surface concentrations.", "biasInWoodfibreCaseEstablished": false, "needsAdjacentHourEvolution": true, "safeToTreatMakemetAdjacentRecordsAsChronology": false, "implication": "Do not casually enable HBP on artificial matrix ordering. Use the finding as an applicability question, not a correction factor or proof that these results are conservative." }, "selectedSourceCases": [ { "sourceId": "WWGF", "caseId": "WWGF_water_autumn_250_310_q1_d20", "peakCoefficient_ug_m3_per_g_s": 0.1351, "peakDistance_m": 4715.0, "reportingDiagnostics": { "windAtStack_m_s": { "atMaximum": 1.1, "atAmbientStart": 0.7, "printedValues": [ "1.1", "0.7" ] }, "finalPlumeRise_m": { "atMaximum": 8956.0, "atAmbientStart": 14167.9, "printedValues": [ "8956.0", "14167.9" ] }, "finalPlumeHeight_m": { "atMaximum": 9139.6, "atAmbientStart": 14351.5, "printedValues": [ "9139.6", "14351.5" ] } }, "syntheticPeakMeteorology": { "heatFlux_W_m2": 12.75, "frictionVelocity_m_s": 0.059, "convectiveVelocity_m_s": 0.6, "temperatureGradient_K_m": 0.02, "convectiveMixingHeight_m": 520.0, "mechanicalMixingHeight_m": 33.0, "moninObukhovLength_m": -1.2, "roughnessLength_m": 0.001, "bowenRatio": 0.1, "albedo": 0.14, "referenceWindSpeed_m_s": 1.0, "windReferenceHeight_m": 10.0, "temperature_K": 250.0, "temperatureReferenceHeight_m": 2.0 } }, { "sourceId": "LPCF", "caseId": "LPCF_grass_autumn_250_310_q1_d20", "peakCoefficient_ug_m3_per_g_s": 0.39788, "peakDistance_m": 3955.0, "reportingDiagnostics": { "windAtStack_m_s": { "atMaximum": 0.6, "atAmbientStart": 0.7, "printedValues": [ "0.6", "0.7" ] }, "finalPlumeRise_m": { "atMaximum": 9124.4, "atAmbientStart": 4875.3, "printedValues": [ "9124.4", "4875.3" ] }, "finalPlumeHeight_m": { "atMaximum": 9268.2, "atAmbientStart": 5019.1, "printedValues": [ "9268.2", "5019.1" ] } }, "syntheticPeakMeteorology": { "heatFlux_W_m2": 2.13, "frictionVelocity_m_s": 0.04, "convectiveVelocity_m_s": 0.3, "temperatureGradient_K_m": 0.02, "convectiveMixingHeight_m": 437.0, "mechanicalMixingHeight_m": 18.0, "moninObukhovLength_m": -2.6, "roughnessLength_m": 0.01, "bowenRatio": 1.0, "albedo": 0.2, "referenceWindSpeed_m_s": 0.5, "windReferenceHeight_m": 10.0, "temperature_K": 280.0, "temperatureReferenceHeight_m": 2.0 } }, { "sourceId": "CDGF", "caseId": "CDGF_water_summer_250_310_q1_d20", "peakCoefficient_ug_m3_per_g_s": 0.088474, "peakDistance_m": 7355.0, "reportingDiagnostics": { "windAtStack_m_s": { "atMaximum": 0.6, "atAmbientStart": 0.6, "printedValues": [ "0.6", "0.6" ] }, "finalPlumeRise_m": { "atMaximum": 39287.2, "atAmbientStart": 33774.8, "printedValues": [ "39287.2", "33774.8" ] }, "finalPlumeHeight_m": { "atMaximum": 39521.5, "atAmbientStart": 34009.0, "printedValues": [ "39521.5", "34009.0" ] } }, "syntheticPeakMeteorology": { "heatFlux_W_m2": 0.84, "frictionVelocity_m_s": 0.028, "convectiveVelocity_m_s": 0.3, "temperatureGradient_K_m": 0.02, "convectiveMixingHeight_m": 989.0, "mechanicalMixingHeight_m": 11.0, "moninObukhovLength_m": -2.0, "roughnessLength_m": 0.001, "bowenRatio": 0.1, "albedo": 0.1, "referenceWindSpeed_m_s": 0.5, "windReferenceHeight_m": 10.0, "temperature_K": 250.0, "temperatureReferenceHeight_m": 2.0 } } ], "archiveVerification": { "date": "2026-09-05", "method": "Read-only independent parse of original SCREEN_max_conc_distance.txt asterisks and SCREEN.log warnings; comparison to stored result.json. 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